Note: All future reports of Gallopedia will be updated on our web page. This Blog will be mentained for archieving purposes only.




Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 132

Dated 8th- 14th August, 2010

This week’s report consists of 33 surveys. 2 of these are multi-country surveys & 1 is a cyber survey. 13 polling organizations have been represented.


ASIA zone-5 National Polls & 1 Multi Country Poll:
GCC: UAE

Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan

West Asia: Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkey

AFRICA zone- 1 Multi Country poll:

West Africa: Nigeria, Ghana, Cameroon, Senegal,

Central Africa: Uganda

East & the Horn of Africa: Kenya

South Africa: South Africa, Zimbabwe

EURO-AMERICAS zone-25 national polls & 1 Multi Country poll:

East Europe- Russia, Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, Moldova, Poland

West Europe- UK, Italy

North America- USA, Canada
Latin America- Brazil, Chile

Australasia: Australia

CYBER WORLD: 1 poll

Commentary: Smoking continues to decline, but quitters in regional Australia lag behind

NOTE: While Australian Elections make big news, in this week’s topic of the week we are focusing on a less glamorous but consequential subject of Health with particular reference to Smoking. Are attitudes changing, and is the Incidence of smoking on the decline? A recent poll reveals the declining trend of Australian Smokers:

9/08/2010

According to the latest Roy Morgan Research Health Monitor, the four years to March 2010, have shown a 3% point reduction in the incidence of smoking (estimated as 260,000 fewer smokers aged 18 plus)down to a level of 17% of the overall population (an estimated 2,860,000 smokers).

Smokers living in capital cities have led the trend to quit with a 3% drop in incidence over the period. This equates to an estimated 218,000 fewer smokers in city areas, whereas amongst Australian country dwellers, smoking showed a solid decrease until 2008, but that decrease has stopped and smoking appears to be on the increase again in country areas.

Whilst all state capitals except Brisbane show lower smoking incidence than the national figure of 17%, regional Australia shows a higher than average incidence in every state except for the Northern Territory.

Nick Williams, Healthcare Consumer Consultant, Roy Morgan Research, says:

“Overall incidence of smoking amongst Australians has declined from 20% to 17% over the past 4 years. However, smoking in regional Australia remains higher than for the capital cities and the rate at which regional smokers are quitting is also slower. This indicates scope for stronger targeted regional implementation of the National Quit campaign and represents an opportunity for improved target marketing from the pharmaceutical marketers of medications that treat nicotine dependence.”

SOURCE: http://www.roymorganonlinestore.com/News/1144---Smoking-continues-to-decline,-but-quitters-.aspx
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The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 131

Dated 1st- 7th August, 2010

This week’s report consists of 22 surveys. 1 of these is a multi-country survey & 1 is a cyber survey. 10 polling organizations have been represented.


ASIA zone-1 Multi Country Poll:
Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,


EURO-AMERICAS zone-20 national polls & 1 Multi Country poll:

East Europe- Russia, Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, Moldova,

West Europe- France, UK, Germany

North America- USA, Canada
Latin America- Brazil

Australasia: Australia, New Zealand

CYBER WORLD: 1 poll

Commentary: Merkel’s Parties Stuck in the Low 30s in Germany

August 07, 2010

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Germany’s governing conservative parties retain a third of the population’s following, according to a poll by FG Wahlen released by ZDF. 33 % of respondents would vote for the Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) or its associate Bavarian Christian-Social Party (CSU) in the next election to the Federal Diet, unchanged since mid-June.

The Social Democratic Party (SPD) is a close second with 32 %, followed by the Green Party (Grune) with 15 %, the Left Party (Linke) with 10 %, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP)—junior partner in the governing coalition—with five %.

In November 2005, CDU leader Angela Merkel was sworn in as Germany’s first female head of government following a federal election. Her "Grand Coalition" administration featured members of the CDU, CSU and SPD.

In September 2009, German voters participated in a new federal election. Final results gave the CDU-CSU 33.8 % of the vote and 239 seats, followed by the SPD with 23 % and 146 mandates. This time, Merkel invited the FDP to form a government. FDP leader Guido Westerwelle serves as foreign minister.

On Aug. 4, Westerwelle spoke of an increasing need for Germany to lure skilled immigrants, saying, "It is of course right that we intelligently invite citizens to work in our country who are positive for us and for our development."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?

Jul. 15

Jun. 17

Jun. 2

Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) /
Bavarian Christian-Social Party (CSU)

33%

33%

34%

Social Democratic Party (SPD)

32%

31%

29%

Green Party (Grune)

15%

15%

15%

Left Party (Linke)

10%

10%

10%

Free Democratic Party (FDP)

5%

5%

5%

Source: FG Wahlen / ZDF
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,178 German adults, conducted from Jul. 13 to Jul. 15, 2010. Margin of error is 3.1 %.

SOURCE: http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/merkelaas_parties_stuck_in_the_low_30s_in_germany
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The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.

Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 130

Dated 25th-31st July, 2010

This week’s report consists of 23 surveys. 2 of these are multi-country surveys & 1 is a Global cyber survey. 8 polling organizations have been represented.


ASIA zone-3 national polls & 1 Global Poll:
Northeast Asia: China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan,

South East Asia: Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Philippines, Cambodia, Singapore,

Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,

South Asia: Pakistan, Sri lanka, Nepal, India, Bangladesh,

West Asia: Afghanistan, Turkey,

Middle East & N Africa: Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Yemen, Saudi Arabia,

AFRICA zone- 1 Multi National poll & 1 Global poll:

West Africa: Nigeria, Niger, Ghana, Mauritania, Senegal, Ivory Coast, Mali, Cameroon,

Central Africa: Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, Burundi, Sudan, Chad, DR Congo,

East & the Horn of Africa: Djibouti, Somaliland, Tanzania,

South Africa: South Africa, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Malawi, Comoros,

EURO-AMERICAS zone-16 national polls & 1 Multi national poll & 1 Global poll:

East Europe- Russia, Czech Republic, Ukraine, Slovenia, Estonia, Poland, Macedonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Bulgaria, Greece, Belarus, Albania, Georgia, Cyprus, Croatia, Montenegro, Kosovo, Serbia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Romania, Moldova,

West Europe- France, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Ireland, Austria, Sweden,

North America- U.S.A, Canada
Latin America- Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Guatemala, Dominican Republic, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Honduras, Ecuador, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Bolivia, Nicaragua, Chile, Uruguay, Argentina, Venezuela,

CYBER WORLD: 2 polls

Commentary: Democracy is Top Wish for Malaysians

July 25, 2010

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Making the country more democratic tops the wish list of many people in Malaysia, according to a poll by the Merdeka Center for Opinion Research. 27 % of respondents cite this as the most important issue to address in the country.

Making the education system "world class" is second with 20 %, followed by reducing income inequality with 11 %, and improving the income of ordinary Malaysians with 9%. Other mentions include fighting crime, making the public servants more efficient, making the courts more independent, and fighting corruption.

The United Malays National Organization (UMNO)—the biggest party in a coalition of 12 political factions known as the National Front (BN)—has formed the government after every election since the Asian country attained its independence from Britain in 1957.

Abdullah Ahmad Badawi took over as prime minister in October 2003, after the retirement of Mahathir Mohamad, who served for more than 22 years. In the March 2004 election, the National Front secured 198 of the 219 seats in the House of Representatives. Abdullah was sworn in as head of government with the biggest majority in three decades.

In the March 2008 ballot, the National Front won 140 seats in the legislature. The coalition’s share of the vote dropped drastically, from 64.4 % in 2004, to 50.27 % in 2008. According to Human Rights Watch, the most recent election was "grossly unfair" and marred by irregularities.

In September 2008, Abdullah announced his intention to step down. Najib Razak—who served as deputy prime minister and finance minister—took over as head of government in April 2009.

Earlier this month, a group of regional constitutional court justices met in Jakarta and signed a declaration to establish an Association of Asian Constitutional Courts. The association will seek to promote the "progress of democracy and the promotion of human rights in Asia on the basis of mutual respect and judicial independence."

Zaki Azmi, chief justice of Malaysia’s Federal Court and the head of the Malaysian delegation, urged other countries to protect the electoral process, saying, "Democracy, that is governing by the people and for the people, can only be achieved through a transparent election."

Polling Data

I am going to read you a list of issues that people feel needs to change, please tell me the top 2 which are the most important for you. Please also let me know if there are other issues in your mind than the ones I am reading to you.

Making the country more democratic

27%

Making our education system world class

20%

Reducing the income gap between the rich and the poor

11%

Improving the income of ordinary Malaysians

9%

Fighting crime

8%

Making our public servants more efficient

8%

Making the courts more independent

7%

Fighting corruption

6%

Don’t know

2%

Others

1%

No response

1%

Source: Merdeka Center for Opinion Research
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 3,141 Malaysian adults, conducted from Jan. 21 to Apr. 26, 2010. Margin of error is 1.8 %.

SOURCE: http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35807/democracy_is_top_wish_for_malaysians

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The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.

Monday, August 9, 2010

Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 129

Dated 18th-24th July, 2010

This week’s report consists of 30 surveys. 2 of these are multi-country surveys. 13 polling organizations have been represented.

ASIA zone-2 national polls:
Northeast Asia: Philippines, China

South Asia: Pakistan

West Asia: Afghanistan


EURO-AMERICAS zone-27 national polls & 2 Multi national polls:

East Europe- Russia, Czech Republic

West Europe- UK

North America- U.S.A, Canada
Latin America- Brazil

Australasia: Australia, New Zealand


According to a survey carried out by Gallup Pakistan , politics as a profession is not very popular among the average Pakistani men and women. Only 22% have ever wished to join politics and even if they were offered an opportunity, only 9% say they will have a strong inclination to take up the profession, another 19% express some inclination. But the vast majority of both men and women show complete disinclination to join politics as a professional career.


Only 22% have ever wished to join politics


A nationally representative sample of men and women from across the country were asked the following questionHave you ever wished to join politics?” More than three quarters (77%) of the respondents had no such desire of joining politics where as 22% were interested in taking part in politics. 1% gave no response.


Have you ever wished to join politics?”




Only 9% are keen on adopting politics as a professional career


In a follow up question the respondents were asked “Suppose you get a chance of joining politics, what are the chances that you will adopt it as a profession? Only 9% showed great enthusiasm and said that they are a lot of chances that they will take up politics as a profession, 19% mentioned there are some chances of this, 22% stated there are very little chances while half of the respondents (50%) stated that there is no likelihood at all of them entering the field of politics.


Suppose you get a chance of joining politics, what are the chances that you will






adopt it as a profession?


Gender difference is small

It is interesting to note that the gender difference on politics as a professional career is smaller than one would expect. Thus 7% of women (as opposed to 10% of men) are highly inclined towards politics as a career.


Only 3% of with Post Graduate Education are keen on adopting politics as a professional career


On the other hand interest in Politics as a professional career takes a sharp dip among Pakistanis with post graduate education, as only 3% of them said they were keen on politics as a professional career.


Commentary by Gallup Pakistan ; BEYOND THE FORGED DEGREES DEBATE:



The findings of the survey are a sad commentary on the prospects of building a civilian political leadership for a democratic Pakistan. A successful democracy requires talented people from all sections of the society to be attracted to politics as an engaging commitment and profession. Pakistan needs to deliberate why politics appeals to and attracts people with low levels of education; after all so many of those elected to the parliament had to forge basic college degrees to qualify according to the law at the time. Pakistan also needs to deliberate why voters prefer the lowly educated politicians to those with higher qualifications and why political parties are unable to recruit the better educated into their ranks. While the current blame game on forged degrees of parliamentarians may even be counter-productive, it does provide a serious occasion for deliberating on how can Pakistan build an educated political class and what would induce a larger section of the society to aspire for politics as a career.


The study was carried out by Gallup Pakistan , the Pakistani affiliate of Gallup International. The recent survey was carried out among a sample of 2757 men and women in rural and urban areas of all four provinces of the country, during July 2010. Error margin is estimated to be approximately + 2-3 % at 95% confidence level.

The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 128

Dated 11th – 16th July, 2010

This week’s report consists of 31 surveys. 2 of these are multi-country surveys. 14 polling organizations have been represented.


ASIA zone-2 national polls:
Northeast Asia: Japan

Middle East: Palestine, Israel

EURO-AMERICAS zone-27 national polls & 2 Multi national polls:

East Europe- Russia, Ukraine, Slovenia, Poland, Moldova, Macedonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Greece, Belarus, Albania,

West Europe- France, UK, Spain, Portugal, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Sweden, Denmark, Ireland, Austria,

North America- U.S.A, Canada
Latin America- Brazil

Australasia: Australia, New Zealand

COMMENTARY: Serra and Rousseff Contest Tight Election in Brazil

July 15, 2010

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Conservative candidate Jose Serra and left-leaning contender Dilma Rousseff are neck-and-neck in the race to become Brazil’s next head of state, according to a poll by Datafolha published in Folha de Sao Paulo. 39 per cent of respondents would vote for Serra of the Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) in this year’s ballot, up two points since May.

Rousseff of the ruling Workers’ Party (PT) is a close second with 38 per cent, followed by Marina Silva of the Green Party (PV) with 10 per cent. 12 per cent of respondents remain undecided or will cast a blank ballot.

In a run-off scenario, Serra is ahead of Rousseff by a razor-thin margin of two points.

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva—a member of the PT—won the October 2002 presidential election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Serra. In October 2006, he earned a new four-year term, defeating PSDB candidate Geraldo Alckmin with 60.8 per cent of the vote in the second round.

Lula has publicly endorsed Rousseff as his preferred successor. In February, the PT officially selected Rousseff as the party’s presidential candidate.

In March, Rousseff stepped down as Lula’s chief of staff and Serra resigned as governor of the state of Sao Paulo in order to launch their presidential bids.

On Jun. 30, Serra presented Indio da Costa, a lawmaker with the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB), as his running-mate. The PMDB is the second largest opposition group in the legislature after the PSDB. Serra introduced da Costa, saying, "He’s a young man, but experienced. We are two different generations together."

Lula is ineligible for a third term in office. The first round of Brazil’s next presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 3.

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the 2010 presidential election?

Jun. 2010

May 2010

Apr. 2010

Jose Serra (PSDB)

39%

37%

42%

Dilma Rousseff (PT)

38%

37%

30%

Marina Gomes (PV)

10%

12%

12%

Blank vote / Undecided

12%

14%

16%

Run-Off Scenario

Jun. 2010

May 2010

Jose Serra (PSDB)

47%

45%

Dilma Rousseff (PT)

45%

46%

Blank vote / Undecided

8%

9%

Source: Datafolha / Folha de Sao Paulo
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 2,658 Brazilian adults, conducted on Jun. 30 and Jul. 1, 2010. Margin of error is 2 per cent.

SOURCE: http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/serra_and_rousseff_contest_tight_election_in_brazil

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The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.