Gallopedia Highlights- Week # 123

Dated 6^th-12^th June, 2010

This week’s report consists of 26 surveys. One of these is a multi-country survey of Sub Saharan Africa. 7 polling organizations have been represented.

ASIA zone-1 national poll & 1 Multi National poll:
South Asia: India, Bangladesh

Northeast Asia: China, Japan

Southeast Asia: Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam,

AFRICA zone- 1 national poll & 2 Multi National polls:

West Africa: Nigeria, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal,

Central Africa: Chad, Burundi, Rwanda, Congo Kinshasa, Cameroon,
Eastern Africa: Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda

Southern Africa: Malawi, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe

EURO-AMERICAS zone-19 national polls & 1 Multi national polls:

East Europe- Russia, Ukraine, Greece

West Europe- UK, Spain, Sweden, Netherlands,

North America- U.S.A
Latin America- Brazil, México, Colombia,

Australasia: Australia

Commentary: Museveni Faces a New Challenge in Uganda

June 07, 2010

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Yoweri Museveni will seek to extend his long tenure as Uganda’s president next year, but the public is currently not as eager to back the incumbent head of state as in years past.

In a survey carried out by TNS/Research International, in May 2010 by the Daily Monitor in Uganda, 43 % of respondents said they would cast a ballot for Museveni in the election that is tentatively scheduled for February 2011. The main opposition leader in the African nation—Kizza Besigye of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC)—is second with 35 %.

When he has had to face the electorate, Museveni has always secured a victory with a majority of the vote in the first round. The latest survey suggests that the opposition may have the potential to force a run-off.

Democratic processes in Uganda have usually been less than perfect. The 2006 election, where Museveni defeated Besigye with 59.2 % of the vote, was criticized by the United Nations (UN) for lacking "an even playing field" and ended with the Supreme Court’s admission that, although irregularities had indeed taken place in the ballot, they were not enough to dispute Museveni’s victory.

While Museveni’s arrival to the political scene—as the leader of the rebel National Resistance Army (NRA)—was originally greeted with hope by the international community, feelings towards Uganda have changed, particularly after several constitutional amendments effectively allowed Museveni to run for president at will.

Besigye has less than a year to pull together an opposition coalition to seek to dethrone a man who first took power when Ronald Reagan was still in the White House.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/museveni_faces_a_new_challenge_in_uganda/

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/-/688334/929098/-/item/1/-/5cnn6mz/-/index.html

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The complete detailed weekly reports of the project can be found on theGilani's Gallopedia website.