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Commentary on Gallopedia Polls Week # 116
lse Asia the Liberal Party (PLP) could gain control of the two highest political offices in the
Given the competitive nature of political activity, the multiplicity of representation and active public campaigns, many would deem the
Aquino III is the son of former president Corazon Aquino, the widow of murdered opposition leader Benigno Aquino, who came to power through a series of massive demonstrations known as "People Power", toppling the regime of democratic ruler turned Dictator, Ferdinand Marcos. Corazon remained an extremely popular figure in the country, until her death in August 2009 following which her son Aquino III officially launched his bid as a Liberal Party (PLP) candidate.
Arroyo her self is the daughter of former Philippine President Diosdado Macapagal. She was elected to the vice presidency under President Joseph Estrada in 2001, despite having run on an opposing ticket. Following corruption allegations against the president, Arroyo resigned and joined the growing opposition. She was elected to a full six-year presidential term in the controversial May 2004 Philippine elections. At present the second longest serving president Arroyo is constitutionally barred from seeking a reelection.
A nation with a turbulent political history, the
The first martial law was imposed in the post colonial state in September 1972 under the 10th President Ferdinand E. Marcos, widely deemed as a ploy to prolong his reign beyond the term limit imposed by law.
Meanwhile despite her popularity Maria Corazon had to face a series of nine coup attempts against her administration during her tenure.
There were also rumors following President Arroyo’s controversial election regarding plans to impose martial law to put an end to military coup plots, general civilian dissatisfaction, and criticism of the legitimacy of her presidency. Instead, a "State of
Following the election-related massacre of 57 people on November 23, 2009 in Maguindanao, President Gloria Arroyo imposed martial law in the southern province. 
Andal Ampatuan Jr., a local mayor and the alleged mastermind of the massacre, belongs to the powerful Ampatuan clan, Arroyo’s major ally in
Violence in the run-up to elections is not uncommon in the country. The Maguindanao massacre, however, was deemed the worst politically motivated violence in recent Philippine history. At present despite a state of Red Alert in the country, the highest security level, with all military and police personnel on constant stand-by, reportedly election related violence continues. Police figures released on April 26 showed that 27 people, including city councilors, village councilors, village leaders and common people were killed and 37 people were injured between Jan. 10, when election campaigns started, and April 25.
However the Philippine nation continues to tout ‘democratic governance’ and seems steady on the path of popular voting. One however questions whether the political institutions have acquired the requisite degree of stability in order to override the effects of popular agency in the political arena. At what stage of maturity should one deem the Philippine political systems? §
Polling Data
Of the people in this list, for whom would you vote for as president of the
| Mar. 2010 | Feb. 2010 | Jan. 2010 |
Benigno Aquino III | 37% | 36% | 37% |
Manuel Villar | 25% | 29% | 35% |
Joseph Estrada | 18% | 18% | 12% |
Gilberto Teodoro | 7% | 7% | 5% |
Eddie Villanueva | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Richard Gordon | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Other / None / Undecided | 9% | 7% | 8% |
If the coming 2010 elections were held today, whom would you vote for as vice-president?
| Mar. 2010 | Feb. 2010 | Jan. 2010 |
Mar Roxas | 43% | 43% | 47% |
Loren Legarda | 23% | 27% | 28% |
Jejomar Binay | 19% | 15% | 13% |
Bayani Fernando | 3% | 4% | 2% |
Eduardo Manzano | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Perfecto Yasay | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Jose Sonza | 0.5% | 1% | 0.2% |
Dominador Chipeco | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Undecided / Other | 9% | 7% | 7% |
Source: Pulse Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 3,000 Filipino adults, conducted from Mar. 21 to Mar. 28, 2010. Margin of error is 2 per cent
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